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Compounder

Metlife Inc

Held by 3 superinvestors (MET).

Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.

Valuation

Valuation · two methods

Earnings Power & Asset Floor

Two intrinsic-value methods and a tangible asset floor — deterministic, not price forecasts or recommendations.

In fair-value rangePrice sits within this method’ value estimate.
margin of safety
fair value
above fair value
$90
cheaper$48 – $112 value estimatepricier

Metlife Inc (MET): A conservative earnings-power estimate, $48–$112 / sh; today’s price sits inside it (price $90 as of 2026-07-02).

Model cautions

  • The DCF result diverges from a zero-growth sanity check (over 50%).
  • Growth nearly matches the discount rate — the estimate is sensitive to assumptions.

An observation from two valuation methods — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.

Price as of 2026-07-02 · yahoo · DGS10 4.5% @ 2026-07-01.

Method & numbers

Owner-earnings DCF $47.50 – $84.53 · Greenwald zero-growth $112.20 · zero-growth base $112.20 · reproduction $26.96

Moat Franchise (moat) · terminal value 43% of present value · owner-earnings yield 5% vs 10Y 4.5%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$97.66 – $112.20 / sh

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

Years: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022

v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex unavailable → degraded to the v1 simplification (maintenance capex = D&A, so the depreciation add-back nets to zero). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back). Operating margin is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized margin capped at the latest year — no peak-margin capitalization (audit #2).

Buffett owner-earnings value$40.24 – $49.19 / sh

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

Years: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022

v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex or D&A unavailable → degraded to normalized net income (= average net income over the years shown). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the same 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy (theoretically the cost of equity is higher; v2 simplification, v3 to refine).

Reproduction value = tangible net assets $18.15B = $26.96 / sh. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

Growth value not assessable — No positive growth reinvestment in the matured window, so ROIIC cannot be computed.

Window FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022 · discount band 9%11% · normalized tax 21% (Average effective tax rate over 4 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.

Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 10% · OE FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022 · Discount band: 8.98%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-07-01). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

Ownership · 13F consensus

Who's buying it

Institutional ownership aggregated across funds — consensus strength and this quarter's moves. Describes actions, not advice.

3 superinvestors hold it · $4.46B combined

This quarter3 trimmed

Largest holder Dodge & Cox

Held by 3 superinvestors of Metlife Inc (MET); this quarter 3 trimmed (as of 2026-03-31).

13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days. Informational only — not investment advice.

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Superinvestors Holding This Security

  • Value$3.61BWeight (prev→now)2.2% 2.0%
  • Value$799.4MWeight (prev→now)2.8% 2.6%
  • Value$44.3MWeight (prev→now)0.3% 0.2%

Ownership overview

Metlife Inc (MET) is held by 3 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $4.46B in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Dodge & Cox, where it makes up 2.0% of the portfolio.

Other notable holders by value include Richard Pzena (2.6% of its book) and Ray Dalio (0.2% of its book).

Over the latest quarter, 0 of the tracked filers opened a new position in MET, 0 added to existing ones, 3 trimmed, and 0 sold out entirely.

Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.

Holders over time

Superinvestors holding this security over the last 8 quarters: 3 → 3.

Early quarters may understate holder counts due to data backfill — read the slope with care.

Key facts & links

Ticker
MET
Total value held
$4.46B
Largest holder
Dodge & Cox
External

Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-03-31 · filed 2026-05-15

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