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Procter & Gamble Co/The

PGAbove valueExpectations · demanding

Held by 10 superinvestors.

Price$145.00
Holders10
Total value$1.08B

SEC 10-K · fundamentals

Business quality

as of 2026-06-30
Revenue growth
+3.3%
Net margin
18.4%
ROE
29.5%
FCF margin
17.4%
Revenue $76.12B → $87.03B · 6y
What makes a business high quality

Valuation · value band

Above fair value

$69/ sh · growth-anchored intrinsic value
margin of safety
fair value
above fair value
$145
cheaperpricier

Zero-growth floor

$51

Central IV

$69

Optimistic top

$86

Procter & Gamble Co/The (PG): Two methods value the business — a conservative owner-earnings DCF and a growth-credited Greenwald estimate, $51–$86 / sh. Today’s price sits above both (price $145 as of 2026-08-26).

The middle figure is the main read. The right end is the optimistic case under the same conservative caps — not an absolute ceiling.

Revenue growth 1% (lower of historical trend and fundamental cap, capped by moat) · moat 10 yr · discount 10.6% · Zero-growth downside $51

Price as of 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.7% @ 2026-08-26.

Method & numbers

A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.

Owner-earnings DCF $54.73 – $81.30 · Greenwald $74.85 – $85.66 (neutral $79.90) · zero-growth base $70.34 · reproduction $12.03

Moat Franchise (moat) · terminal value 41% of present value · owner-earnings yield 4% vs 10Y 4.7%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$51.42 – $64.62 / sh

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

Years: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex (ok) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).

Buffett owner-earnings value$57.55 – $70.34 / sh

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

Years: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (ok); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied (net cash or debt within the no-charge range).

Reproduction value = tangible net assets $-8.41B + capitalized R&D $6.18B(FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021) = $12.03 / sh. Reproduction value = intangible-inclusive net reproduction (tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy + capitalized R&D), ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise.

Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

Assumes a narrow moat · competitive-advantage period ≈ 10 years.

Growth value: if the moat holds for 10 yr at ROIIC ≈ 37%, $4.51–$15.31 / sh (neutral $9.56). Conservative, not a forecast.

Window FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%11% · normalized tax 20% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.

Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 1% · OE FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.16%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-08-26). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp. Two-method midpoint gap 15%.

What the price is betting

Today's price pencils in about 15.6% a year in owner-earnings for the next few years. Revenue actually grew 2.4% a year.

The market wants it well ahead of its own track record.

How to read intrinsic value

SEC 13F · holders

Superinvestors Holding This Security

10 holders · $1.08B combined · this quarter +0 opened / -0 exited

This quarter3 added5 trimmed
Holders 12 → 10 · last 8q
  • Value$598.1MWeight (prev→now)4.7% 4.4%
  • Value$287.9MWeight (prev→now)3.7% 3.6%
  • Value$137.3MWeight (prev→now)0.3% 0.3%
  • Value$21.5MWeight (prev→now)0.7% 1.7%
  • Value$20.2MWeight (prev→now)0.1% 0.1%
  • Value$13.3MWeight (prev→now)0.0% 0.0%
  • Value$961,079Weight (prev→now)0.0% 0.0%
  • Value$487,285Weight (prev→now)0.0% 0.0%
  • Value$267,502Weight (prev→now)0.0% 0.0%
  • Value$219,080Weight (prev→now)0.0% 0.0%

SEC 13F · notes

Written summary

Procter & Gamble Co/The (PG) is held by 10 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $1.08B in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Terry Smith, where it makes up 4.4% of the portfolio.

Other notable holders by value include Donald Yacktman (3.6% of its book), Jeremy Grantham (0.3% of its book) and David Katz (1.7% of its book).

Over the latest quarter, 0 of the tracked filers opened a new position in PG, 3 added to existing ones, 5 trimmed, and 0 sold out entirely.

Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.

How to read a 13F

SEC 13F · co-ownership

Also held by these investors

Investors holding Procter & Gamble Co/The (PG) also commonly hold →

PG's price is not below its conservative value band. See current strike-zone stocks

Also on

Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-14

Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.

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