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Intl Business Machines Corp

IBMAbove value

Held by 8 superinvestors.

Price$229.87
Holders8
Total value$105.9M

SEC 10-K · fundamentals

Business quality

as of 2025-12-31

Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-30 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.

Revenue growth
+7.6%
Net margin
15.7%
ROE
32.4%
FCF margin
17.9%
Revenue $73.62B → $67.53B · 6y
What makes a business high quality

Valuation · value band

Above fair value

$104/ sh · growth-anchored intrinsic value
margin of safety
fair value
above fair value
$230
cheaperpricier

Zero-growth floor

$63

Central IV

$104

Optimistic top

$123

Intl Business Machines Corp (IBM): A conservative value band $63–$123 / sh (zero-growth floor to growth-capped optimistic top); central read about $104. Today’s price sits above that band (price $230 as of 2026-08-26).

The middle figure is the main read. The right end is the optimistic case under the same conservative caps — not an absolute ceiling.

Revenue growth 7% (lower of historical trend and fundamental cap, capped by moat) · moat 10 yr · discount 12.6% · Zero-growth downside $63

Price as of 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.7% @ 2026-08-26.

Method & numbers

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.

Owner-earnings DCF $69.80 – $122.95 · Greenwald zero-growth $75.01 · zero-growth base $75.01 · reproduction $7.80

Moat Franchise (moat) · terminal value 42% of present value · owner-earnings yield 4% vs 10Y 4.7%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).

Years: TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

Buffett owner-earnings value$63.46 – $75.01 / sh

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 11.0–13.0% band (9–11% base + 2.0pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

Years: TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 127% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 2.0pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 7.0 years of owner earnings, adding 2.0pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.

Reproduction value = tangible net assets $-54.10B + capitalized R&D $17.26B（FY 2026, 2024, 2023, 2022） = $7.80 / sh. Reproduction value = intangible-inclusive net reproduction (tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy + capitalized R&D), ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise.

Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

Assumes a narrow moat · competitive-advantage period ≈ 10 years.

Growth value not assessable — Operating income is not available across the window, so ROIIC / growth value cannot be computed.

Window TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%–11% · normalized tax 0% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.

Baseline 9%–11%, net debt ≈ 7.0 years of owner earnings → +2.0pp cost-of-equity premium → effective 11.0%–13.0%.

Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 7% · OE FY TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 11.15%–13.99% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +1.99pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-08-26). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-30 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.

How to read intrinsic value

SEC 13F · holders

Superinvestors Holding This Security

8 holders · $105.9M combined · this quarter +1 opened / -0 exited

This quarter1 opened3 added2 trimmed
Holders 8 → 8 · last 8q

SEC 13F · notes

Written summary

Intl Business Machines Corp (IBM) is held by 8 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $105.9M in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Jim Cullen, where it makes up 0.7% of the portfolio.

Other notable holders by value include Dodge & Cox (0.0% of its book), Arnold Van Den Berg (2.4% of its book) and Jeremy Grantham (0.0% of its book).

Over the latest quarter, 1 of the tracked filers opened a new position in IBM, 3 added to existing ones, 2 trimmed, and 0 sold out entirely.

Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.

How to read a 13F

SEC 13F · co-ownership

Also held by these investors

Investors holding Intl Business Machines Corp (IBM) also commonly hold →

IBM's price is not below its conservative value band. See current strike-zone stocks

Also on

Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-14

Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.

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