Quanta Services Inc
PWRAbove valueExpectations · demandingHeld by 1 superinvestor.
SEC 10-K · fundamentals
Business quality
as of 2025-12-31- Revenue growth
- +20.3%
- Net margin
- 3.6%
- ROE
- 11.5%
- FCF margin
- 5.7%
Valuation · value band
Above fair value
Zero-growth floor
$36
Central IV
$68
Optimistic top
$181
Quanta Services Inc (PWR): Two methods value the business — a conservative owner-earnings DCF and a growth-credited Greenwald estimate, $36–$181 / sh. Today’s price sits above both (price $633 as of 2026-07-20).
The middle figure is the main read. The right end is the optimistic case under the same conservative caps — not an absolute ceiling.
Revenue growth 7% (lower of historical trend and fundamental cap, capped by moat) · moat 10 yr · discount 12.5% · Zero-growth downside $36
Price as of 2026-07-20 · yahoo · DGS10 4.6% @ 2026-07-20.
Method & numbers
Buybacks over the years shown roughly only offset stock-based-compensation dilution — read them as maintaining the share count, not a net return of capital.
Model cautions
- Owner-earnings yield diverges sharply from the 10-year Treasury (over 300 bps).
- The two methods’ midpoints differ materially — growth assumptions warrant review (over 20%).
A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.
Owner-earnings DCF $45.43 – $80.83 · Greenwald $88.12 – $181.47 (neutral $136.55) · zero-growth base $52.40 · reproduction $25.29
Moat Franchise (moat) · terminal value 42% of present value · owner-earnings yield 1% vs 10Y 4.6%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$36.20 – $52.40 / sh
Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.
Years: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Only one maintenance-capex method available; estimate is degraded. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).
Buffett owner-earnings value$41.30 – $48.86 / sh
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 10.9–12.9% band (9–11% base + 1.9pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
Years: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 simplifications: Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Only one maintenance-capex method available; estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 1.9pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 6.9 years of owner earnings, adding 1.9pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.
Asset floor: Reproduction value = tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy, ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise (no R&D history to capitalize).
Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
Assumes a narrow moat · competitive-advantage period ≈ 10 years.
Growth value: if the moat holds for 10 yr at ROIIC ≈ 59%, $35.72–$129.07 / sh (neutral $84.15). Conservative, not a forecast.
Window FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%–11% · normalized tax 21% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.
Baseline 9%–11%, net debt ≈ 6.9 years of owner earnings → +1.9pp cost-of-equity premium → effective 10.9%–12.9%.
Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 7% · OE FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 11.04%–13.94% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +1.94pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-07-20). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp. Two-method midpoint gap 67%.
What the price is betting
Today's price pencils in about over 30.0% (outside the usual range) a year in owner-earnings for the next few years. Revenue actually grew 21.0% a year.
The market wants it well ahead of its own track record.
Roughly, the price needs its historical revenue growth to run about 25 more years to hold up.
SEC 13F · holders
Superinvestors Holding This Security
1 holder · $6.5M combined · this quarter +0 opened / -1 exited
- Value$6.5MWeight (prev→now)0.0% → 0.0% ▲
SEC 13F · notes
Written summary
Written summary
Quanta Services Inc (PWR) is held by 1 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $6.5M in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Ray Dalio, where it makes up 0.0% of the portfolio.
Over the latest quarter, 0 of the tracked filers opened a new position in PWR, 0 added to existing ones, 1 trimmed, and 1 sold out entirely.
Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.
SEC 13F · co-ownership
Also held by these investors
Investors holding Quanta Services Inc (PWR) also commonly hold →
- Ss Spdr S&P 500 Etf Trust-UsSPY1 holder
- Ishares Core S&P 500 EtfIVV1 holder
- Amazon.Com IncAMZN1 holder
- Nvidia CorpNVDA1 holder
- Alphabet Inc-Cl AGOOGL1 holder
- Broadcom IncAVGO1 holder
PWR's price is not below its conservative value band. See current strike-zone stocks
Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-03-31 · filed 2026-05-15
Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.
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