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Taylor Morrison Home Corp

TMHC

2 位超级投资者持有。

现价$72.45
持有人数2
合计市值$73.3M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31

估值口径:截至 2026-03-31 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

营收增速
-0.6%
净利率
9.6%
ROE
12.4%
FCF 利润率
9.6%
营收 $6.13B → $8.12B · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

估值

缺少可用市场价格,因此不把现价放进价值带位置条。

方法与数字

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

所有者盈利 DCF $56.92 – $75.39

护城河 商品化 · 终值占现值 37%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).

年份:TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

Buffett owner-earnings value$61.88 – $75.63 / 股

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 73% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied (net cash or debt within the no-charge range).

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $5.58B = $57.26 / 股. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC,故不计入增长价值。

窗口 TTM 2026-03-31, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 21% (No effective-rate data available; fell back to the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 0% · OE FY TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.16%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-08-26). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

估值口径:截至 2026-03-31 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

2 位持有 · 合计 $73.3M · 本季 +0 新建 / -2 清仓

本季动向1 家加仓1 家减仓2 家清仓
持有人 4 → 2 · 近 8 季
本季清仓(2)

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Taylor Morrison Home Corp(TMHC)被 Compounder 追踪的 2 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $73.3M。仓位最大的是 Donald Smith,占其组合 1.1%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Ronald Muhlenkamp(占其组合 3.3%)

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 0 位新建 TMHC 仓位,1 位加仓,1 位减仓,2 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Taylor Morrison Home Corp(TMHC)的这些人还共同重仓 →

看哪些股票相对价值带便宜。 浏览全部可估值股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-18 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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