Skip to content
Compounder
← Stocks

Dutch Bros Inc-Class A

BROSAbove value

Held by 2 superinvestors.

Price$48.13
Holders2
Total value$102.3M

SEC 10-K · fundamentals

Business quality

as of 2025-12-31

Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-30 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.

Revenue growth
+27.9%
Net margin
4.9%
ROE
11.7%
FCF margin
3.3%
Revenue $327.4M → $1.64B · 6y
What makes a business high quality

Valuation · value band

Above fair value

$6/ sh · zero-growth intrinsic value
margin of safety
fair value
above fair value
$48
cheaperpricier

$6 value estimate

Dutch Bros Inc-Class A (BROS): A conservative earnings-power estimate, $6 / sh; today’s price sits above it (price $48 as of 2026-09-02).

Zero-growth downside $6

Price as of 2026-09-02 · yahoo.

Method & numbers

A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.

· Greenwald zero-growth $5.75 · zero-growth base $5.75 · reproduction $5.75

Moat Below asset base.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$1.85 – $2.16 / sh

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

Years: TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex (ok) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).

Buffett owner-earnings value

Normalized owner earnings are non-positive over the years shown; earnings power cannot be capitalized.

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

Years: TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (ok); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Net debt or owner earnings is unavailable, so no adjustment is made.

Reproduction value = tangible net assets $774.91M = $5.75 / sh. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

Growth value gated to zero — no moat or ROIIC ≤ WACC, so no growth value is credited.

Window TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%11% · normalized tax 21% (Average effective tax rate over 3 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.

Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-30 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.

How to read intrinsic value

SEC 13F · holders

Superinvestors Holding This Security

2 holders · $102.3M combined · this quarter +0 opened / -0 exited

This quarter1 trimmed
Holders 3 → 2 · last 8q
  • Value$101.9MWeight (prev→now)19.3% 22.1%
  • Value$466,550Weight (prev→now)0.0% 0.0%

SEC 13F · notes

Written summary

Dutch Bros Inc-Class A (BROS) is held by 2 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $102.3M in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Robert Karr, where it makes up 22.1% of the portfolio.

Other notable holders by value include Ray Dalio (0.0% of its book).

Over the latest quarter, 0 of the tracked filers opened a new position in BROS, 0 added to existing ones, 1 trimmed, and 0 sold out entirely.

Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.

How to read a 13F

SEC 13F · co-ownership

Also held by these investors

Investors holding Dutch Bros Inc-Class A (BROS) also commonly hold →

BROS's price is not below its conservative value band. See current strike-zone stocks

Also on

Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-14

Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.

Stay Updated

New-quarter 13F moves and valuation updates, to your inbox.