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Dutch Bros Inc-Class A

BROS高于价值

2 位超级投资者持有。

现价$48.86
持有人数2
合计市值$102.3M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31

估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

营收增速
+27.9%
净利率
4.9%
ROE
11.7%
FCF 利润率
3.3%
营收 $327.4M → $1.64B · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

高于合理价值

$6/ 股 · 零增长内在价值
安全边际
合理价值
高于合理价值
$49
更便宜更贵

$6 价值估计

Dutch Bros Inc-Class A(BROS):一项保守的盈利能力估计,$6 / 股;今日价格高于它(价格 $49 截至 2026-08-31)。

零增长下行 $6

价格截至 2026-08-31 · yahoo.

方法与数字

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

· Greenwald 零增长 $5.75 · 零增长基准 $5.75 · 重置 $5.75

护城河 低于资产基础.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$1.85 – $2.16 / 股

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Maintenance capex (ok) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).

Buffett owner-earnings value

Normalized owner earnings are non-positive over the years shown; earnings power cannot be capitalized.

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (ok); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Net debt or owner earnings is unavailable, so no adjustment is made.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $774.91M = $5.75 / 股. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC,故不计入增长价值。

窗口 TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 21% (Average effective tax rate over 3 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

2 位持有 · 合计 $102.3M · 本季 +0 新建 / -0 清仓

本季动向1 家减仓
持有人 3 → 2 · 近 8 季
  • 市值$101.9M权重(上季→本季)19.3% 22.1%
  • 市值$466,550权重(上季→本季)0.0% 0.0%

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Dutch Bros Inc-Class A(BROS)被 Compounder 追踪的 2 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $102.3M。仓位最大的是 Robert Karr,占其组合 22.1%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Ray Dalio(占其组合 0.0%)

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 0 位新建 BROS 仓位,0 位加仓,1 位减仓,0 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Dutch Bros Inc-Class A(BROS)的这些人还共同重仓 →

BROS 现价不低于保守价值带。 看当前击球区股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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新一季 13F 异动与估值更新,发到你的邮箱。