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Cbre Group Inc - A

CBREAbove value

Held by 9 superinvestors.

Price$150.36
Holders9
Total value$1.08B

SEC 10-K · fundamentals

Business quality

as of 2025-12-31

Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-30 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.

Revenue growth
+13.7%
Net margin
2.9%
ROE
13.0%
FCF margin
3.0%
Revenue $23.17B → $39.90B · 6y
What makes a business high quality

Valuation · value band

Above fair value

$54/ sh · growth-anchored intrinsic value
margin of safety
fair value
above fair value
$150
cheaperpricier

Zero-growth floor

$44

Central IV

$54

Optimistic top

$63

Cbre Group Inc - A (CBRE): A conservative value band $44–$63 / sh (zero-growth floor to growth-capped optimistic top); central read about $54. Today’s price sits above that band (price $150 as of 2026-08-26).

The middle figure is the main read. The right end is the optimistic case under the same conservative caps — not an absolute ceiling.

  • Recent earnings are below the multi-year average, so the band uses the lower run-rate.

Revenue growth 0% (history declining, capped at zero) · moat 10 yr · discount 11.0% · Zero-growth downside $44

Price as of 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.7% @ 2026-08-26.

Method & numbers

A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.

Owner-earnings DCF $47.55 – $61.68 · Greenwald zero-growth $62.72 · zero-growth base $62.72 · reproduction $11.83

Moat Franchise (moat) · terminal value 35% of present value · owner-earnings yield 4% vs 10Y 4.7%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$44.04 – $58.82 / sh

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

Years: TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 316% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back). Operating margin is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized margin capped at the latest year — no peak-margin capitalization (audit #2).

Buffett owner-earnings value$51.72 – $62.72 / sh

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9.4–11.4% band (9–11% base + 0.4pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

Years: TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 316% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 0.4pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 3.8 years of owner earnings, adding 0.4pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.

Asset floor: Reproduction value = tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy, ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise (no R&D history to capitalize).

Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

Assumes a narrow moat · competitive-advantage period ≈ 10 years.

Growth value not assessable — No positive growth reinvestment in the matured window, so ROIIC cannot be computed.

Window TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%–11% · normalized tax 19% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.

Baseline 9%–11%, net debt ≈ 3.8 years of owner earnings → +0.4pp cost-of-equity premium → effective 9.4%–11.4%.

Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 0% (history declining → capped at 0) · OE FY TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.56%–12.40% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +0.40pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-08-26). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-30 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.

What the price is betting

Today's price pencils in about 20.1% a year in owner-earnings for the next few years. Revenue actually grew 10.7% a year.

The market wants it well ahead of its own track record.

Roughly, the price needs its historical revenue growth to run about 18 more years to hold up.

Even when the value band is low-confidence: use this to see what the price assumes — not as a cheapness confirmation.

How to read intrinsic value

SEC 13F · holders

Superinvestors Holding This Security

9 holders · $1.08B combined · this quarter +1 opened / -0 exited

This quarter1 opened4 added3 trimmed
Holders 8 → 8 · last 8q

SEC 13F · notes

Written summary

Cbre Group Inc - A (CBRE) is held by 9 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $1.08B in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Bill Nygren, where it makes up 1.1% of the portfolio.

Other notable holders by value include Mason Morfit (2.4% of its book), John Rogers (0.5% of its book) and Richard Pzena (0.1% of its book).

Over the latest quarter, 1 of the tracked filers opened a new position in CBRE, 4 added to existing ones, 3 trimmed, and 0 sold out entirely.

Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.

How to read a 13F

SEC 13F · co-ownership

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Also on

Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-14

Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.

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