Teradyne Inc
TERAbove valueHeld by 3 superinvestors.
SEC 10-K · fundamentals
Business quality
as of 2025-12-31Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-28 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.
- Revenue growth
- +13.1%
- Net margin
- 17.4%
- ROE
- 19.8%
- FCF margin
- 14.1%
Valuation · value band
Above fair value
Zero-growth floor
$48
Central IV
$64
Optimistic top
$78
Teradyne Inc (TER): A conservative value band $48–$78 / sh (zero-growth floor to growth-capped optimistic top); central read about $64. Today’s price sits above that band (price $363 as of 2026-08-26).
The middle figure is the main read. The right end is the optimistic case under the same conservative caps — not an absolute ceiling.
Revenue growth 3% (lower of historical trend and fundamental cap, capped by moat) · moat 20 yr · discount 10.6% · Zero-growth downside $48
Price as of 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.6% @ 2026-08-25.
Method & numbers
Model cautions
- Owner-earnings yield diverges sharply from the 10-year Treasury (over 300 bps).
A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.
Owner-earnings DCF $47.31 – $76.35 · Greenwald zero-growth $77.53 · zero-growth base $77.53 · reproduction $16.94
Moat Franchise (moat) · terminal value 19% of present value · owner-earnings yield 1% vs 10Y 4.6%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$63.83 – $77.53 / sh
Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.
Years: TTM 2026-06-28, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 160% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).
Buffett owner-earnings value$48.40 – $59.16 / sh
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
Years: TTM 2026-06-28, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 simplifications: Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 160% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied (net cash or debt within the no-charge range).
Reproduction value = tangible net assets $2.67B = $16.94 / sh. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).
Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
Assumes a wide moat · competitive-advantage period ≈ 20 years (earnings intact, ROIC stable over history).
Growth value not assessable — No positive growth reinvestment in the matured window, so ROIIC cannot be computed.
Window TTM 2026-06-28, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%–11% · normalized tax 13% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.
Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 3% · OE FY TTM 2026-06-28, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.14%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-08-25). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.
Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-28 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.
How to read intrinsic valueSEC 13F · holders
Superinvestors Holding This Security
3 holders · $771.1M combined · this quarter +1 opened / -1 exited
- Value$722.4MWeight (prev→now)4.4% → 4.4% ▼
- Value$47.7MWeight (prev→now)0.4% → 0.2% ▼
- Value$1.0MWeight (prev→now)New · 0.0%
SEC 13F · notes
Written summary
Written summary
Teradyne Inc (TER) is held by 3 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $771.1M in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Stephen Mandel, where it makes up 4.4% of the portfolio.
Other notable holders by value include Ray Dalio (0.2% of its book) and Lee Ainslie (0.0% of its book).
Over the latest quarter, 1 of the tracked filers opened a new position in TER, 0 added to existing ones, 2 trimmed, and 1 sold out entirely.
Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.
SEC 13F · co-ownership
Also held by these investors
Investors holding Teradyne Inc (TER) also commonly hold →
- Asml Holding Nv-Ny Reg ShsASML3 holders
- Seagate Technology HoldingsSTX3 holders
- Applied Materials IncAMAT3 holders
- Performance Food Group CoPFGC3 holders
- Corning IncGLW3 holders
- Taiwan Semiconductor-Sp AdrTSM3 holders
TER's price is not below its conservative value band. See current strike-zone stocks
Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-14
Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.
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