Corning Inc
GLWAbove valueHeld by 5 superinvestors.
SEC 10-K · fundamentals
Business quality
As of 2025-12-31Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-30 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.
- Revenue growth
- +19.1%
- Net margin
- 10.2%
- ROE
- 13.5%
- FCF margin
- —
Valuation · value band
Above fair value
Zero-growth floor
$13
Central IV
$12
Optimistic top
$14
Corning Inc (GLW): A conservative value band $13–$14 / sh (zero-growth floor to growth-capped optimistic top); central read about $12. Today’s price sits above that band (price $132 as of 2026-10-16).
The middle figure is the main read. The right end is the optimistic case under the same conservative caps — not an absolute ceiling.
- Recent earnings are below the multi-year average, so the band uses the lower run-rate.
Revenue growth 0% (history declining, capped at zero) · moat 10 yr · discount 11.7% · Zero-growth downside $13
Price as of 2026-10-16 · yahoo · DGS10 5.1% @ 2026-10-15.
Method & numbers
Buybacks over the years shown roughly only offset stock-based-compensation dilution — read them as maintaining the share count, not a net return of capital.
Model cautions
- Owner-earnings yield diverges sharply from the 10-year Treasury (over 300 bps).
A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.
Owner-earnings DCF $11.02 – $13.54 · Greenwald zero-growth $14.36 · zero-growth base $14.36 · reproduction $12.91
Moat Franchise (via earnings growth) · terminal value 33% of present value · owner-earnings yield 1% vs 10Y 5.1%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$8.88 – $12.36 / sh
Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.
Years: TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex unavailable → degraded to the v1 simplification (maintenance capex = D&A, so the depreciation add-back nets to zero). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).
Buffett owner-earnings value$11.94 – $14.36 / sh
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9.9–11.9% band (9–11% base + 0.9pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
Years: TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex or D&A unavailable → degraded to normalized net income (= average net income over the years shown). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 0.9pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 4.8 years of owner earnings, adding 0.9pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.
Reproduction value = tangible net assets $9.47B + capitalized R&D $1.82B(FY 2026, 2024, 2023, 2022) = $12.91 / sh. Reproduction value = tangible net assets (equity − goodwill − intangibles) + capitalized R&D (5y straight-line), ÷ diluted shares.
Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
Assumes a narrow moat · competitive-advantage period ≈ 10 years.
Growth value gated to zero — franchise via earnings-growth bypass; growth credit stays in the owner-earnings DCF only.
Window TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%–11% · normalized tax 21% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.
Baseline 9%–11%, net debt ≈ 4.8 years of owner earnings → +0.9pp cost-of-equity premium → effective 9.9%–11.9%.
Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 0% (history declining → capped at 0) · OE FY TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 10.48%–12.88% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +0.88pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-10-15). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.
Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-06-30 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.
What the price is betting
Today's price pencils in about over 30.0% (outside the usual range) a year in owner-earnings for the next few years. Revenue actually grew 3.7% a year.
The market wants it well ahead of its own track record.
Even when the value band is low-confidence: use this to see what the price assumes — not as a cheapness confirmation.
SEC 13F · holders
Superinvestors Holding This Security
5 holders · $708.5M combined · this quarter +1 opened / -1 exited
- Value$696.8MWeight (prev→now)4.0% → 4.3% ▲
- Value$8.9MWeight (prev→now)0.0% → 0.0% ▲
- Value$1.3MWeight (prev→now)0.0% → 0.1% ▲
- Value$1.2MWeight (prev→now)0.6% → 0.0% ▼
- Value$333,847Weight (prev→now)New · 0.0%
SEC 13F · notes
Written summary
Written summary
Corning Inc (GLW) is held by 5 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $708.5M in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Stephen Mandel, where it makes up 4.3% of the portfolio.
Other notable holders by value include Dodge & Cox (0.0% of its book), Steven Check (0.1% of its book) and Lee Ainslie (0.0% of its book).
In the quarter ended 2026-06-30, 1 of the tracked filers opened a new position in GLW, 0 added to existing ones, 3 trimmed, and 1 sold out entirely.
Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.
SEC 13F · co-ownership
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Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-14
Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.
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