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Visa Inc-Class A Shares

VAbove valueExpectations · fair

Held by 32 superinvestors.

Price$383.90
Holders32
Total value$22.32B

SEC 10-K · fundamentals

Business quality

as of 2025-09-30

Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-03-31 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.

Revenue growth
+11.3%
Net margin
50.1%
ROE
52.9%
FCF margin
53.9%
Revenue $21.85B → $40.00B · 6y
What makes a business high quality

Valuation · value band

Above fair value

$301/ sh · growth-anchored intrinsic value
margin of safety
fair value
above fair value
$384
cheaperpricier

Zero-growth floor

$96

Central IV

$301

Optimistic top

$381

Visa Inc-Class A Shares (V): A conservative value band $96–$381 / sh (zero-growth floor to growth-capped optimistic top); central read about $301. Today’s price sits above that band (price $384 as of 2026-08-26).

The middle figure is the main read. The right end is the optimistic case under the same conservative caps — not an absolute ceiling.

Revenue growth 13% (lower of historical trend and fundamental cap, capped by moat) · moat 20 yr · discount 10.6% · Zero-growth downside $96

Price as of 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.7% @ 2026-08-26.

Method & numbers

Model cautions

  • Growth nearly matches the discount rate — the estimate is sensitive to assumptions.

A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.

Owner-earnings DCF $129.72 – $381.32 · Greenwald zero-growth $125.92 · zero-growth base $125.92 · reproduction $5.77

Moat Franchise (moat) · terminal value 29% of present value · owner-earnings yield 3% vs 10Y 4.7%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$95.59 – $118.14 / sh

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

Years: TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 103% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back). Operating margin is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized margin capped at the latest year — no peak-margin capitalization (audit #2).

Buffett owner-earnings value$103.03 – $125.92 / sh

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

Years: TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 103% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied (net cash or debt within the no-charge range).

Asset floor: Reproduction value = tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy, ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise (no R&D history to capitalize).

Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

Assumes a wide moat · competitive-advantage period ≈ 20 years (earnings intact, ROIC stable over history).

Growth value not assessable — No positive growth reinvestment in the matured window, so ROIIC cannot be computed.

Window TTM 2026-03-31, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%11% · normalized tax 18% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.

Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 13% · OE FY TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.16%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-08-26). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

Valuation basis: trailing twelve months to 2026-03-31 — latest 10-K plus unaudited 10-Q filings.

What the price is betting

Today's price pencils in about 15.5% a year in owner-earnings for the next few years. Revenue actually grew 13.2% a year.

About its own track record.

Roughly, the price needs its historical revenue growth to run about 17 more years to hold up.

How to read intrinsic value

SEC 13F · holders

Superinvestors Holding This Security

32 holders · $22.32B combined · this quarter +2 opened / -0 exited

This quarter2 opened11 added13 trimmed
Holders 29 → 31 · last 8q
Show all 32 holders

SEC 13F · notes

Written summary

Visa Inc-Class A Shares (V) is held by 32 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $22.32B in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Chris Hohn, where it makes up 19.8% of the portfolio.

Other notable holders by value include Andreas Halvorsen (6.3% of its book), Dodge & Cox (1.0% of its book) and John Armitage (14.1% of its book).

Over the latest quarter, 2 of the tracked filers opened a new position in V, 11 added to existing ones, 13 trimmed, and 0 sold out entirely.

Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.

How to read a 13F

SEC 13F · co-ownership

Also held by these investors

Investors holding Visa Inc-Class A Shares (V) also commonly hold →

V's price is not below its conservative value band. See current strike-zone stocks

Also on

Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-17

Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.

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