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Home Bancshares Inc

HOMB低于价值带

2 位超级投资者持有。

现价$30.39
持有人数2
合计市值$1.3M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31
营收增速
净利率
ROE
11.1%
FCF 利润率

基本面数据不完整,仅供参考。

什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

安全边际

$31/ 股 · 含增长中枢内在价值
安全边际
合理价值
高于合理价值
$30
更便宜更贵

零增长底

$19

中枢 IV

$31

乐观上沿

$38

Home Bancshares Inc(HOMB):保守价值带 $19–$38 / 股(零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿),中枢约 $31。今日价格低于这条带(价格 $30 截至 2026-07-22)。

中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。

  • 资本开支两年翻倍,维持性投入难分清,价值带按保守口径读。

营收增 5%(历史增长与基本面上限的较小值,受护城河封顶) · 护城河 0 年 · 折现 10.6% · 零增长下行 $19

价格截至 2026-07-22 · yahoo · DGS10 4.6% @ 2026-07-21.

方法与数字

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

模型警示

  • 资本开支两年翻倍:维持性 CapEx 下限后按 D&A 封顶(OE 可能偏乐观);Greenwald 增长价值已关闭 — 成长只留在所有者盈利 DCF。

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

所有者盈利 DCF $20.08 – $37.73 · Greenwald 零增长 $23.62 · 零增长基准 $23.62 · 重置 $14.50

护城河 商品化 · 终值占现值 49% · 所有者盈利收益率 7% 对 10Y 4.6%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).

年份:2025, 2024, 2023

Buffett owner-earnings value$19.33 – $23.62 / 股

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:2025, 2024, 2023

v1 简化:Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (ok); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Capex doubled within two years (AI-hog rule): flagged; the spike is treated as growth, not maintenance — owner earnings carry extra uncertainty. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Financial issuer (bank/insurer): net debt / owner earnings does not describe a deposit-funded balance sheet, so no leverage premium is applied here; leverage is instead handled by the reliability gate.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $2.87B = $14.50 / 股. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 资本开支两年翻倍(AI-hog),成长只留在所有者盈利 DCF,避免双重计入。

窗口 FY 2025, 2024, 2023 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 21% (Average effective tax rate over 3 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 5% · OE FY 2025, 2024, 2023 · Discount band: 9.13%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-07-21). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

2 位持有 · 合计 $1.3M · 本季 +1 新建 / -0 清仓

本季动向1 家新进1 家减仓
持有人 1 → 2 · 近 8 季

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Home Bancshares Inc(HOMB)被 Compounder 追踪的 2 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $1.3M。仓位最大的是 Robert Olstein,占其组合 0.2%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Bruce Berkowitz(占其组合 0.0%)

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 1 位新建 HOMB 仓位,0 位加仓,1 位减仓,0 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-03-31 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Home Bancshares Inc(HOMB)的这些人还共同重仓 →

看哪些股票相对价值带便宜。 浏览全部可估值股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-03-31 · 2026-05-15 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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