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Resideo Technologies Inc

REZI高于价值

5 位超级投资者持有。

现价$35.53
持有人数5
合计市值$309.3M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31
营收增速
+10.5%
净利率
-7.1%
ROE
-18.1%
FCF 利润率
-16.8%
营收 $5.07B → $7.47B · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

高于合理价值

$20/ 股 · 零增长内在价值
安全边际
合理价值
高于合理价值
$36
更便宜更贵

$20–$32 价值估计

Resideo Technologies Inc(REZI):一项保守的盈利能力估计,$20–$32 / 股;今日价格高于它(价格 $36 截至 2026-07-20)。

零增长下行 $20

价格截至 2026-07-20 · yahoo.

方法与数字

所示年度的回购大体只抵消了股权激励(SBC)造成的稀释 — 应视为维持股本、而非净额回馈股东。

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

· Greenwald $28.43 – $32.42 (中性 $30.20) · 零增长基准 $27.88 · 重置 $8.08

护城河 特许经营(护城河).

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$19.73 – $27.88 / 股

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

年份:2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 205% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back). Operating margin is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized margin capped at the latest year — no peak-margin capitalization (audit #2).

Buffett owner-earnings value

Normalized owner earnings are non-positive over the years shown; earnings power cannot be capitalized.

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 205% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Net debt or owner earnings is unavailable, so no adjustment is made.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $-1.27B + 资本化研发 $382.80M(FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021) = $8.08 / 股. Reproduction value = intangible-inclusive net reproduction (tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy + capitalized R&D), ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise.

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值:若护城河在 10 年 内维持于 ROIIC ≈ 18%,则 $0.55–$4.54 / 股(中性 $2.32)。保守估计,非预测。

窗口 FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 21% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

5 位持有 · 合计 $309.3M · 本季 +2 新建 / -3 清仓

本季动向2 家新进2 家加仓1 家减仓3 家清仓
持有人 2 → 5 · 近 8 季
  • 市值$204.9M权重(上季→本季)2.3% 2.3%
  • 市值$53.1M权重(上季→本季)新建 · 1.7%
  • 市值$46.4M权重(上季→本季)0.1% 0.2%
  • 市值$2.5M权重(上季→本季)0.1% 0.2%
  • 市值$2.4M权重(上季→本季)新建 · 0.6%

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Resideo Technologies Inc(REZI)被 Compounder 追踪的 5 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $309.3M。仓位最大的是 John Rogers,占其组合 2.3%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 David Einhorn(占其组合 1.7%)Richard Pzena(占其组合 0.2%)Tweedy, Browne(占其组合 0.2%)

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 2 位新建 REZI 仓位,2 位加仓,1 位减仓,3 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-03-31 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Resideo Technologies Inc(REZI)的这些人还共同重仓 →

REZI 现价不低于保守价值带。 看当前击球区股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-03-31 · 2026-05-15 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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