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Compounder

Ally Financial Inc

Held by 4 superinvestors (ALLY).

Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.

Valuation

Valuation · two methods

Earnings Power & Asset Floor

Two intrinsic-value methods and a tangible asset floor — deterministic, not price forecasts or recommendations.

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Margin of safetyPrice sits below this method’ value estimate.
margin of safety
fair value
above fair value
$45
cheaper$23 – $49 value estimatepricier

Ally Financial Inc (ALLY): A conservative earnings-power estimate, $23–$49 / sh; today’s price sits below it (price $45 as of 2026-07-02).

Price is at or below the reproducible tangible asset base ($49 / sh) — a rarer, harder floor.

An observation from two valuation methods — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.

Price as of 2026-07-02 · yahoo · DGS10 4.5% @ 2026-07-01.

Method & numbers

Owner-earnings DCF $22.68 – $30.31 · Greenwald zero-growth $48.90 · zero-growth base $48.90 · reproduction $48.90

Moat Below asset base · terminal value 37% of present value · owner-earnings yield 6% vs 10Y 4.5%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).

Years: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

Buffett owner-earnings value$24.74 – $30.24 / sh

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

Years: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 simplifications: Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Maintenance capex or D&A unavailable → degraded to normalized net income (= average net income over the years shown). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the same 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy (theoretically the cost of equity is higher; v2 simplification, v3 to refine).

Reproduction value = tangible net assets $15.31B = $48.90 / sh. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

Growth value gated to zero — no moat / ROIIC ≤ WACC, so no growth value is credited.

Window FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · discount band 9%11% · normalized tax 18% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.

Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 0% (history declining → capped at 0) · OE FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 8.98%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-07-01). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

Ownership · 13F consensus

Who's buying it

Institutional ownership aggregated across funds — consensus strength and this quarter's moves. Describes actions, not advice.

4 superinvestors hold it · $2.18B combined

This quarter1 opened1 trimmed2 exited

Largest holder Warren Buffett

Held by 4 superinvestors of Ally Financial Inc (ALLY); this quarter 1 opened, 1 trimmed, 2 exited (as of 2026-03-31).

13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days. Informational only — not investment advice.

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Superinvestors Holding This Security

Exited this quarter (2)

Ownership overview

Ally Financial Inc (ALLY) is held by 4 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $2.18B in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Warren Buffett, where it makes up 0.4% of the portfolio.

Other notable holders by value include Bill Nygren (1.4% of its book), Francis Chou (4.2% of its book) and Tweedy, Browne (0.1% of its book).

Over the latest quarter, 1 of the tracked filers opened a new position in ALLY, 0 added to existing ones, 1 trimmed, and 2 sold out entirely.

Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-03-31. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.

Holders over time

Superinvestors holding this security over the last 8 quarters: 5 → 4.

Early quarters may understate holder counts due to data backfill — read the slope with care.

Key facts & links

Ticker
ALLY
Total value held
$2.18B
Largest holder
Warren Buffett
External

Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-03-31 · filed 2026-05-15

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