Copart Inc
CPRTWithin bandExpectations · modestHeld by 7 superinvestors.
SEC 10-K · fundamentals
Business quality
As of 2026-07-31- Revenue growth
- +0.4%
- Net margin
- 31.8%
- ROE
- 16.3%
- FCF margin
- 27.2%
Valuation · value band
In fair-value range
Zero-growth floor
$13
Central IV
$25
Optimistic top
$30
Copart Inc (CPRT): Two methods value the business — a conservative owner-earnings DCF and a growth-credited Greenwald estimate, $13–$30 / sh. Today’s price sits inside both (price $28 as of 2026-10-16).
The middle figure is the main read. The right end is the optimistic case under the same conservative caps — not an absolute ceiling.
Revenue growth 8% (lower of historical trend and fundamental cap, capped by moat) · moat 20 yr · discount 10.8% · Zero-growth downside $13
Price as of 2026-10-16 · yahoo · DGS10 5.1% @ 2026-10-15.
Method & numbers
Model cautions
- The two methods’ midpoints differ materially — growth assumptions warrant review (over 20%).
- Growth nearly matches the discount rate — the estimate is sensitive to assumptions.
A conservative intrinsic-value band (zero-growth floor to growth-capped DCF) plus a tangible asset floor — not investment advice, not a buy/sell signal, and not a price target.
Owner-earnings DCF $14.29 – $29.84 · Greenwald $16.36 – $17.63 (neutral $16.36) · zero-growth base $16.36 · reproduction $8.92
Moat Franchise (moat) · terminal value 24% of present value · owner-earnings yield 5% vs 10Y 5.1%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$13.75 – $16.36 / sh
Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.
Years: 2026, 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022
v1 simplifications: Maintenance capex (ok) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back). Operating margin is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized margin capped at the latest year — no peak-margin capitalization (audit #2).
Buffett owner-earnings value$12.72 – $15.55 / sh
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
Years: 2026, 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022
v1 simplifications: Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (ok); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied (net cash or debt within the no-charge range).
Reproduction value = tangible net assets $8.54B = $8.92 / sh. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).
Moat reading: Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
Assumes a wide moat · competitive-advantage period ≈ 20 years (earnings intact, ROIC stable over history).
Growth value: if the moat holds for 20 yr at ROIIC ≈ 8%, $0.00–$1.26 / sh (neutral $0.00). Conservative, not a forecast.
Window FY 2026, 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022 · discount band 9%–11% · normalized tax 19% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · diluted shares.
Owner-earnings DCF: growth g₁ 8% · OE FY 2026, 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022 · Discount band: 9.60%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-10-15). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp. Two-method midpoint gap 42%.
What the price is betting
Today's price pencils in about 9.4% a year in owner-earnings for the next few years. Revenue actually grew 11.1% a year.
Below what it has already done.
Roughly, the price needs its historical revenue growth to run about 11 more years to hold up.
SEC 13F · holders
Superinvestors Holding This Security
7 holders · $274.0M combined · this quarter +1 opened / -0 exited
- Value$225.1MWeight (prev→now)4.3% → 4.4% ▲
- Value$18.5MWeight (prev→now)0.2% → 0.4% ▲
- Value$12.6MWeight (prev→now)3.2% → 2.6% ▼
- Value$12.6MWeight (prev→now)0.9% → 0.9% ▲
- Value$3.9MWeight (prev→now)0.0% → 0.0% ▼
- Value$1.0MWeight (prev→now)New · 0.0%
- Value$233,244Weight (prev→now)0.0% → 0.0% ▼
SEC 13F · notes
Written summary
Written summary
Copart Inc (CPRT) is held by 7 of the superinvestors tracked on Compounder, with a combined $274.0M in reported 13F value. The largest position belongs to Chuck Akre, where it makes up 4.4% of the portfolio.
Other notable holders by value include Nicolai Tangen (0.4% of its book), David Rolfe (2.6% of its book) and Shad Rowe (0.9% of its book).
In the quarter ended 2026-06-30, 1 of the tracked filers opened a new position in CPRT, 3 added to existing ones, 3 trimmed, and 0 sold out entirely.
Holder counts and values reflect the most recent SEC Form 13F filings, through the quarter ended 2026-06-30. Source: SEC EDGAR. A 13F shows only long US-listed positions and can lag the real portfolio by up to 45 days, so this is disclosed long ownership, not a complete picture.
SEC 13F · co-ownership
Also held by these investors
Investors holding Copart Inc (CPRT) also commonly hold →
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CPRT's price is not below its conservative value band. See current strike-zone stocks
Sources· SEC EDGAR 13F as of 2026-06-30 · filed 2026-08-14
Educational data only — not investment advice. 13F positions are self-reported and can lag up to 45 days.
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