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Dow Inc

DOW

4 位超级投资者持有。

现价$32.90
持有人数4
合计市值$388.5M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31

估值口径:截至 2026-03-31 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

营收增速
-7.0%
净利率
-6.1%
ROE
-15.3%
FCF 利润率
-3.6%
营收 $38.54B → $39.97B · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

估值

缺少可用市场价格,因此不把现价放进价值带位置条。

方法与数字

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

· 重置 $8.15

护城河 低于资产基础.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).

年份:TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

Buffett owner-earnings value

Normalized owner earnings are non-positive over the years shown; earnings power cannot be capitalized.

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 63% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Net debt or owner earnings is unavailable, so no adjustment is made.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $5.88B = $8.15 / 股. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC,故不计入增长价值。

窗口 TTM 2026-03-31, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 13% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

估值口径:截至 2026-03-31 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

4 位持有 · 合计 $388.5M · 本季 +1 新建 / -0 清仓

本季动向1 家新进3 家减仓
持有人 5 → 4 · 近 8 季
  • 市值$342.2M权重(上季→本季)2.6% 1.0%
  • 市值$45.4M权重(上季→本季)1.1% 0.4%
  • 市值$599,594权重(上季→本季)新建 · 0.0%
  • 市值$249,359权重(上季→本季)0.0% 0.0%

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Dow Inc(DOW)被 Compounder 追踪的 4 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $388.5M。仓位最大的是 Richard Pzena,占其组合 1.0%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Jim Cullen(占其组合 0.4%)Ray Dalio(占其组合 0.0%)Dodge & Cox(占其组合 0.0%)

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 1 位新建 DOW 仓位,0 位加仓,3 位减仓,0 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Dow Inc(DOW)的这些人还共同重仓 →

看哪些股票相对价值带便宜。 浏览全部可估值股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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