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Guardant Health Inc

GH

2 位超级投资者持有。

现价$162.942026-10-22 收盘 · Yahoo Finance
持有人数2
合计市值$5.8M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31

估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

营收增速
+32.9%
净利率
-42.4%
ROE
419.2%
FCF 利润率
-23.7%
营收 $286.7M → $982.0M · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

估值

缺少可用市场价格,因此不把现价放进价值带位置条。

方法与数字

所示年度的回购大体只抵消了股权激励(SBC)造成的稀释 — 应视为维持股本、而非净额回馈股东。

模型警示

  • 资本开支两年翻倍:维持性 CapEx 下限后按 D&A 封顶(OE 可能偏乐观);Greenwald 增长价值已关闭 — 成长只留在所有者盈利 DCF。

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

· 重置 $4.00

护城河 低于资产基础.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Normalized operating earnings net of maintenance capex are non-positive over the years shown; earnings power cannot be capitalized.

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 85% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Capex doubled within two years (AI-hog rule): maintenance capex floored at the D&A sustaining proxy (the growth-capex spike is not treated as maintenance). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).

Buffett owner-earnings value

Normalized owner earnings are non-positive over the years shown; earnings power cannot be capitalized.

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 85% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Capex doubled within two years (AI-hog rule): maintenance capex floored at the D&A sustaining proxy (the growth-capex spike is not treated as maintenance). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Net debt or owner earnings is unavailable, so no adjustment is made.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $-325.39M + 资本化研发 $806.08M(FY 2026, 2024, 2023, 2022) = $4.00 / 股. Reproduction value = intangible-inclusive net reproduction (tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy + capitalized R&D), ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise.

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 资本开支两年翻倍(AI-hog),成长只留在所有者盈利 DCF,避免双重计入。

窗口 TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%–11% · 正常化税率 0% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

2 位持有 · 合计 $5.8M · 本季 +0 新建 / -0 清仓

本季动向2 家减仓
持有人 1 → 2 · 近 8 季
  • 市值$5.2M权重(上季→本季)0.0% → 0.0% ▲
  • 市值$636,727权重(上季→本季)0.0% → 0.0% ▼

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Guardant Health Inc(GH)被 Compounder 追踪的 2 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $5.8M。仓位最大的是 Polen Capital,占其组合 0.0%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Ray Dalio(占其组合 0.0%)。

截至 2026-06-30 的这一季,追踪范围内有 0 位新建 GH 仓位,0 位加仓,2 位减仓,0 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Guardant Health Inc(GH)的这些人还共同重仓 →

看哪些股票相对价值带便宜。 浏览全部可估值股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交· Yahoo Finance 截至 2026-10-22· SEC 10-K + 10-Q (XBRL) 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-07-30 提交·FRED 10 年期美债(DGS10) 截至 2026-10-21

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

订阅更新

每季 13F 申报截止后一封,讲超级投资者这季动了什么。随时退订。