Haemonetics Corp/Mass
HAE高于价值预期 · 苛刻2 位超级投资者持有。
SEC 10-K · 基本面
生意质量
截至 2026-03-28估值口径:截至 2026-06-27 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。
- 营收增速
- -2.0%
- 净利率
- 7.3%
- ROE
- 12.2%
- FCF 利润率
- 19.5%
估值 · 价值带
高于合理价值
零增长底
$19
中枢 IV
$41
乐观上沿
$62
Haemonetics Corp/Mass(HAE):两种方法为该业务估值 — 一为保守的所有者盈利 DCF,一为计入增长的 Greenwald 估计,$19–$62 / 股。今日价格高于二者(价格 $107 截至 2026-08-26)。
中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。
营收增 4%(历史增长与基本面上限的较小值,受护城河封顶) · 护城河 10 年 · 折现 12.0% · 零增长下行 $19
价格截至 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.6% @ 2026-08-25.
方法与数字
保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。
所有者盈利 DCF $28.91 – $48.48 · Greenwald $39.37 – $61.63 (中性 $49.48) · 零增长基准 $33.44 · 重置 $9.20
护城河 特许经营(护城河) · 终值占现值 42% · 所有者盈利收益率 3% 对 10Y 4.6%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$18.52 – $27.26 / 股
Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.
年份:TTM 2026-06-27, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 简化:Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 204% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back). Operating margin is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized margin capped at the latest year — no peak-margin capitalization (audit #2).
Buffett owner-earnings value$28.08 – $33.44 / 股
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 10.5–12.5% band (9–11% base + 1.5pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
年份:TTM 2026-06-27, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 204% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 1.5pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 5.9 years of owner earnings, adding 1.5pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.
重置价值 = 有形净资产 $-254.29M + 资本化研发 $129.14M(FY 2026, 2024, 2023, 2022) = $9.20 / 股. Reproduction value = intangible-inclusive net reproduction (tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy + capitalized R&D), ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise.
护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
假设一般护城河 · 竞争优势期约 10 年。
增长价值:若护城河在 10 年 内维持于 ROIIC ≈ 23%,则 $5.92–$28.19 / 股(中性 $16.03)。保守估计,非预测。
窗口 TTM 2026-06-27, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%–11% · 正常化税率 21% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.
基线 9%–11%,净债务约 5.9 年所有者盈利 → 加 1.5 个百分点风险溢价 → 实际 10.5%–12.5%。
所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 4% · OE FY TTM 2026-06-27, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 10.61%–13.47% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +1.47pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-08-25). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp. 两法中值差 19%。
估值口径:截至 2026-06-27 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。
价格在赌什么
现价把公司未来几年的 owner-earnings 年增定在 22.9%;公司过去营收年增 9.6%。
市场要它明显快过自己一贯的水平。
SEC 13F · 持有人
持有该证券的超级投资者
2 位持有 · 合计 $159.1M · 本季 +1 新建 / -0 清仓
- 市值$154.6M权重(上季→本季)新建 · 1.5%
- 市值$4.5M权重(上季→本季)0.0% → 0.0% ▲
SEC 13F · 说明
文字说明
文字说明
Haemonetics Corp/Mass(HAE)被 Compounder 追踪的 2 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $159.1M。仓位最大的是 John Rogers,占其组合 1.5%。
按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Ray Dalio(占其组合 0.0%)。
最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 1 位新建 HAE 仓位,1 位加仓,0 位减仓,0 位清仓。
以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。
SEC 13F · 共持信号
他们还共同持有
持有 Haemonetics Corp/Mass(HAE)的这些人还共同重仓 →
HAE 现价不低于保守价值带。 看当前击球区股票
数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交
仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。
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