Biogen Inc
BIIB高于价值3 位超级投资者持有。
SEC 10-K · 基本面
生意质量
截至 2025-12-31估值口径:截至 2026-03-31 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。
- 营收增速
- +2.2%
- 净利率
- 13.1%
- ROE
- 7.1%
- FCF 利润率
- 20.7%
估值 · 价值带
高于合理价值
零增长底
$102
中枢 IV
$106
乐观上沿
$125
Biogen Inc(BIIB):保守价值带 $102–$125 / 股(零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿),中枢约 $106。今日价格高于这条带(价格 $221 截至 2026-08-26)。
中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。
- 最新盈利低于多年均值,价值带按更低的运行率计。
营收增 0%(历史下滑,封顶为零) · 护城河 10 年 · 折现 10.6% · 零增长下行 $102
价格截至 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.7% @ 2026-08-26.
方法与数字
Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.
保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。
所有者盈利 DCF $93.51 – $122.50 · Greenwald 零增长 $124.67 · 零增长基准 $124.67 · 重置 $20.95
护城河 特许经营(护城河) · 终值占现值 37% · 所有者盈利收益率 5% 对 10Y 4.7%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)
Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.
Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).
年份:TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
Buffett owner-earnings value$102.01 – $124.67 / 股
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
年份:TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 238% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied (net cash or debt within the no-charge range).
重置价值 = 有形净资产 $3.11B = $20.95 / 股. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).
护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
假设一般护城河 · 竞争优势期约 10 年。
增长价值无法评估 — Operating income is not available across the window, so ROIIC / growth value cannot be computed.
窗口 TTM 2026-03-31, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%–11% · 正常化税率 12% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.
所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 0%(历史下滑 → 封顶为 0) · OE FY TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.16%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-08-26). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.
估值口径:截至 2026-03-31 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。
内在价值怎么读SEC 13F · 持有人
持有该证券的超级投资者
3 位持有 · 合计 $126.6M · 本季 +0 新建 / -0 清仓
- 市值$61.3M权重(上季→本季)2.6% → 2.0% ▼
- 市值$60.1M权重(上季→本季)0.6% → 0.7% ▲
- 市值$5.2M权重(上季→本季)3.8% → 3.8% ▼
SEC 13F · 说明
文字说明
文字说明
Biogen Inc(BIIB)被 Compounder 追踪的 3 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $126.6M。仓位最大的是 Samantha McLemore,占其组合 2.0%。
按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Sarah Ketterer(占其组合 0.7%) 和 Mark Hillman(占其组合 3.8%)。
最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 0 位新建 BIIB 仓位,0 位加仓,3 位减仓,0 位清仓。
以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。
SEC 13F · 共持信号
他们还共同持有
持有 Biogen Inc(BIIB)的这些人还共同重仓 →
看哪些股票相对价值带便宜。 浏览全部可估值股票
数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交
仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。
订阅更新
新一季 13F 异动与估值更新,发到你的邮箱。