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Onemain Holdings Inc

OMF低于内在价值 · 待确认

5 位超级投资者持有。

现价$57.112026-10-22 收盘 · Yahoo Finance
持有人数5
合计市值$643.9M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31

估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

营收增速
+8.9%
净利率
16.0%
ROE
23.0%
FCF 利润率
—
营收 $3.87B → $4.90B · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

低于内在价值 · 待确认

$62/ 股 · 含增长中枢内在价值
安全边际
合理价值
高于合理价值
$57
更便宜更贵

零增长底

$61

中枢 IV

$62

乐观上沿

$75

Onemain Holdings Inc(OMF):保守价值带 $61–$75 / 股(零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿)。今天的价格 $57(截至 2026-10-22)低于价值带,低于中枢约 $62。

中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。

  • 最新盈利低于多年均值,价值带按更低的运行率计。
  • 金融股高杠杆:这里的股权价值是降级近似。

营收增 0%(历史下滑,封顶为零) · 护城河 10 年 · 折现 10.8% · 零增长下行 $61

价格截至 2026-10-22 · yahoo · DGS10 5.1% @ 2026-10-21.

方法与数字

高杠杆 — 价值区间为降级近似(见方法)。

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

模型警示

  • 所有者盈利收益率与 10 年期美债大幅背离(超过 300 个基点)。

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

所有者盈利 DCF $56.22 – $70.06 · Greenwald 零增长 $74.97 · 零增长基准 $74.97 · 重置 $14.08

护城河 特许经营(护城河) · 终值占现值 36% · 所有者盈利收益率 12% 对 10Y 5.1%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).

年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

Buffett owner-earnings value$61.34 – $74.97 / 股

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Maintenance capex or D&A unavailable → degraded to normalized net income (= average net income over the years shown). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Financial issuer (bank/insurer): net debt / owner earnings does not describe a deposit-funded balance sheet, so no leverage premium is applied here; leverage is instead handled by the reliability gate.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $1.63B = $14.08 / 股. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

假设一般护城河 · 竞争优势期约 10 年。

增长价值无法评估 — Operating income is not available across the window, so ROIIC / growth value cannot be computed.

窗口 TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%–11% · 正常化税率 21% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 0%(历史下滑 → 封顶为 0) · OE FY TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.63%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-10-21). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

High leverage (net debt / shareholders' equity above 1.0): for financial issuers the single 9–11% rate band is a low-leverage approximation that is not priced for leverage (financials are exempt from the leverage premium; see the reliability gate instead). The ranges are shown but should be read with that in mind.

估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

价格在赌什么

现价把公司未来几年的 owner-earnings 年增定在 -1.7%;公司过去营收年增 4.7%。

低于它自己做到过的。

粗略地说,现价要它按历史营收增速再增长约 1 年,才刚好撑得起。

价值带信心不足时仍可对照:这里只说明市场在赌多快,不把它当成「确认便宜」。

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

5 位持有 · 合计 $643.9M

Q2 2026:新建 0 · 增持 1 · 减持 3 · 清仓 0

Q3 2026 申报中 2/94。

持有人 6 → 5 · 近 8 季

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Onemain Holdings Inc(OMF)被 Compounder 追踪的 5 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $643.9M。仓位最大的是 Glenn Greenberg,占其组合 10.1%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Leon Cooperman(占其组合 3.7%),Samantha McLemore(占其组合 1.4%) 和 Bill Miller(占其组合 1.2%)。

截至 2026-06-30 的这一季,追踪范围内有 0 位新建 OMF 仓位,1 位加仓,3 位减仓,0 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Onemain Holdings Inc(OMF)的这些人还共同重仓 →

看哪些股票现价低于内在价值。 浏览全部可估值股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交· Yahoo Finance 截至 2026-10-22· SEC 10-K + 10-Q (XBRL) 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-07-30 提交·FRED 10 年期美债(DGS10) 截至 2026-10-21

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

订阅更新

每季 13F 申报截止后一封,讲超级投资者这季动了什么。随时退订。