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Star Bulk Carriers Corp

SBLK高于价值

1 位超级投资者持有。

现价$26.09
持有人数1
合计市值$12.7M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31
营收增速
-17.6%
净利率
8.1%
ROE
3.4%
FCF 利润率
20.3%
营收 $693.2M → $1.04B · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

高于合理价值

$21/ 股 · 零增长内在价值
安全边际
合理价值
高于合理价值
$26
更便宜更贵

$21 价值估计

Star Bulk Carriers Corp(SBLK):一项保守的盈利能力估计,$21 / 股;今日价格高于它(价格 $26 截至 2026-07-20)。

  • 资本开支两年翻倍,维持性投入难分清,价值带按保守口径读。

零增长下行 $21

价格截至 2026-07-20 · yahoo.

方法与数字

模型警示

  • 资本开支两年翻倍:维持性 CapEx 下限后按 D&A 封顶(OE 可能偏乐观);Greenwald 增长价值已关闭 — 成长只留在所有者盈利 DCF。

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

· Greenwald 零增长 $21.22 · 零增长基准 $21.22 · 重置 $21.22

护城河 低于资产基础.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$4.93 – $5.09 / 股

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

年份:2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 164% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Capex doubled within two years (AI-hog rule): flagged; the spike is treated as growth, not maintenance — owner earnings carry extra uncertainty. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back). Operating margin is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized margin capped at the latest year — no peak-margin capitalization (audit #2).

Buffett owner-earnings value

Normalized owner earnings are non-positive over the years shown; earnings power cannot be capitalized.

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 164% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Capex doubled within two years (AI-hog rule): flagged; the spike is treated as growth, not maintenance — owner earnings carry extra uncertainty. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Net debt or owner earnings is unavailable, so no adjustment is made.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $2.45B = $21.22 / 股. Total book value (shareholders' equity ÷ diluted shares); intangibles not separated — goodwill/intangibles unavailable this period.

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. Dual reproduction test unavailable (intangibles not separated). A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 资本开支两年翻倍(AI-hog),成长只留在所有者盈利 DCF,避免双重计入。

窗口 FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 0% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

1 位持有 · 合计 $12.7M · 本季 +0 新建 / -1 清仓

本季动向1 家减仓1 家清仓
持有人 1 → 1 · 近 8 季
  • 市值$12.7M权重(上季→本季)0.0% 0.1%
本季清仓(1)

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Star Bulk Carriers Corp(SBLK)被 Compounder 追踪的 1 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $12.7M。仓位最大的是 Ray Dalio,占其组合 0.1%。

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 0 位新建 SBLK 仓位,0 位加仓,1 位减仓,1 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-03-31 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Star Bulk Carriers Corp(SBLK)的这些人还共同重仓 →

看哪些股票相对价值带便宜。 浏览全部可估值股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-03-31 · 2026-05-15 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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