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Camden Property Trust

CPT高于价值

3 位超级投资者持有。

现价$107.28
持有人数3
合计市值$722.1M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31

估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

营收增速
+81.7%
净利率
2964.9%
ROE
8.8%
FCF 利润率
营收 $10.8M → $13.0M · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

高于合理价值

$24/ 股 · 含增长中枢内在价值
安全边际
合理价值
高于合理价值
$107
更便宜更贵

零增长底

$37

中枢 IV

$24

乐观上沿

$37

Camden Property Trust(CPT):保守价值带 $37 / 股(零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿),中枢约 $24。今日价格高于这条带(价格 $107 截至 2026-08-18)。

中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。

营收增 1%(历史增长与基本面上限的较小值,受护城河封顶) · 护城河 0 年 · 折现 14.6% · 零增长下行 $37

价格截至 2026-08-18 · yahoo · DGS10 4.7% @ 2026-08-18.

方法与数字

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

所有者盈利 DCF $20.59 – $26.93 · Greenwald 零增长 $37.14 · 零增长基准 $37.14 · 重置 $37.14

护城河 低于资产基础 · 终值占现值 29% · 所有者盈利收益率 3% 对 10Y 4.7%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).

年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

Buffett owner-earnings value$21.25 – $24.51 / 股

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 13.0–15.0% band (9–11% base + 4.0pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Maintenance capex or D&A unavailable → degraded to normalized net income (= average net income over the years shown). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 4.0pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 14.7 years of owner earnings, adding 4.0pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $3.80B = $37.14 / 股. Total book value (shareholders' equity ÷ diluted shares); intangibles not separated — goodwill/intangibles unavailable this period.

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. Dual reproduction test unavailable (intangibles not separated). A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC,故不计入增长价值。

窗口 TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 21% (No effective-rate data available; fell back to the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

基线 9%–11%,净债务约 14.7 年所有者盈利 → 加 4.0 个百分点风险溢价 → 实际 13.0%–15.0%。

所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 1% · OE FY TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 13.21%–16.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +4.00pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-08-18). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

3 位持有 · 合计 $722.1M · 本季 +0 新建 / -0 清仓

本季动向3 家减仓
持有人 3 → 3 · 近 8 季

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Camden Property Trust(CPT)被 Compounder 追踪的 3 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $722.1M。仓位最大的是 Andreas Halvorsen,占其组合 1.5%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Lee Ainslie(占其组合 1.8%)Christopher Davis(占其组合 0.0%)

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 0 位新建 CPT 仓位,0 位加仓,3 位减仓,0 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Camden Property Trust(CPT)的这些人还共同重仓 →

CPT 现价不低于保守价值带。 看当前击球区股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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