Hasbro Inc
HAS高于价值2 位超级投资者持有。
SEC 10-K · 基本面
生意质量
截至 2025-12-28估值口径:截至 2026-06-28 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。
- 营收增速
- +13.7%
- 净利率
- -6.9%
- ROE
- -57.0%
- FCF 利润率
- 17.7%
估值 · 价值带
高于合理价值
零增长底
$5
中枢 IV
$15
乐观上沿
$17
Hasbro Inc(HAS):保守价值带 $5–$17 / 股(零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿),中枢约 $15。今日价格高于这条带(价格 $96 截至 2026-08-26)。
中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。
营收增 4%(历史增长与基本面上限的较小值,受护城河封顶) · 护城河 0 年 · 折现 14.6% · 零增长下行 $5
价格截至 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.7% @ 2026-08-26.
方法与数字
所示年度的回购大体只抵消了股权激励(SBC)造成的稀释 — 应视为维持股本、而非净额回馈股东。
保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。
所有者盈利 DCF $11.35 – $16.99 · Greenwald 零增长 $12.70 · 零增长基准 $12.70 · 重置 $4.54
护城河 商品化 · 终值占现值 33% · 所有者盈利收益率 2% 对 10Y 4.7%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$1.63 – $6.13 / 股
Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.
年份:TTM 2026-06-28, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 简化:Maintenance capex (degraded) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 330% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).
Buffett owner-earnings value$11.00 – $12.70 / 股
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 13.0–15.0% band (9–11% base + 4.0pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
年份:TTM 2026-06-28, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 简化:Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (degraded); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). Maintenance-capex methods diverge by 330% (> 50%); estimate is degraded. One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 4.0pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 11.3 years of owner earnings, adding 4.0pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.
重置价值 = 有形净资产 $-952.30M + 资本化研发 $760.00M(FY 2026, 2024, 2023, 2022) = $4.54 / 股. Reproduction value = intangible-inclusive net reproduction (tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy + capitalized R&D), ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise.
护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC,故不计入增长价值。
窗口 TTM 2026-06-28, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%–11% · 正常化税率 21% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.
基线 9%–11%,净债务约 11.3 年所有者盈利 → 加 4.0 个百分点风险溢价 → 实际 13.0%–15.0%。
所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 4% · OE FY TTM 2026-06-28, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 13.16%–16.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +4.00pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-08-26). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.
估值口径:截至 2026-06-28 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。
内在价值怎么读SEC 13F · 持有人
持有该证券的超级投资者
2 位持有 · 合计 $277.4M · 本季 +1 新建 / -0 清仓
- 市值$256.6M权重(上季→本季)1.0% → 0.7% ▼
- 市值$20.8M权重(上季→本季)新建 · 0.1%
SEC 13F · 说明
文字说明
文字说明
Hasbro Inc(HAS)被 Compounder 追踪的 2 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $277.4M。仓位最大的是 Andreas Halvorsen,占其组合 0.7%。
按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Ray Dalio(占其组合 0.1%)。
最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 1 位新建 HAS 仓位,0 位加仓,1 位减仓,0 位清仓。
以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。
SEC 13F · 共持信号
他们还共同持有
持有 Hasbro Inc(HAS)的这些人还共同重仓 →
HAS 现价不低于保守价值带。 看当前击球区股票
数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交
仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。
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