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Danaher Corp

DHR高于价值

13 位超级投资者持有。

现价$215.36
持有人数13
合计市值$2.44B

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31

估值口径:截至 2026-06-26 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

营收增速
+2.9%
净利率
14.7%
ROE
6.9%
FCF 利润率
21.4%
营收 $22.28B → $24.57B · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

高于合理价值

$60/ 股 · 含增长中枢内在价值
安全边际
合理价值
高于合理价值
$215
更便宜更贵

零增长底

$31

中枢 IV

$60

乐观上沿

$70

Danaher Corp(DHR):保守价值带 $31–$70 / 股(零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿),中枢约 $60。今日价格高于这条带(价格 $215 截至 2026-08-26)。

中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。

  • 最新盈利低于多年均值,价值带按更低的运行率计。

营收增 0%(历史下滑,封顶为零) · 护城河 0 年 · 折现 11.4% · 零增长下行 $31

价格截至 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.6% @ 2026-08-25.

方法与数字

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

所有者盈利 DCF $53.47 – $68.87 · Greenwald 零增长 $69.85 · 零增长基准 $69.85 · 重置 $30.68

护城河 商品化 · 终值占现值 34% · 所有者盈利收益率 3% 对 10Y 4.6%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$24.19 – $36.54 / 股

Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.

年份:TTM 2026-06-26, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Maintenance capex (ok) deducted in full cash (write A): EPV = (NOPAT + D&A − maintenance capex) / WACC; no tax shield on the capex term. Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back). Operating margin is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized margin capped at the latest year — no peak-margin capitalization (audit #2).

Buffett owner-earnings value$58.01 – $69.85 / 股

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9.8–11.8% band (9–11% base + 0.8pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:TTM 2026-06-26, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (ok); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 0.8pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 4.6 years of owner earnings, adding 0.8pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $-16.19B + 资本化研发 $3.52B(FY 2026, 2024, 2023, 2022) = $30.68 / 股. Reproduction value = intangible-inclusive net reproduction (tangible net assets + acquired-intangible reset proxy + capitalized R&D), ÷ diluted shares; tangible net assets alone are negative for this asset-light franchise.

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value (tangible net assets + capitalized R&D). EPV well above reproduction value signals a moat; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC,故不计入增长价值。

窗口 TTM 2026-06-26, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 16% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

基线 9%–11%,净债务约 4.6 年所有者盈利 → 加 0.8 个百分点风险溢价 → 实际 9.8%–11.8%。

所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 0%(历史下滑 → 封顶为 0) · OE FY TTM 2026-06-26, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.93%–12.79% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +0.79pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-08-25). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

估值口径:截至 2026-06-26 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

13 位持有 · 合计 $2.44B · 本季 +3 新建 / -1 清仓

本季动向3 家新进7 家加仓1 家减仓1 家清仓
持有人 12 → 13 · 近 8 季
展开全部 13 位持有人
  • 市值$4.9M权重(上季→本季)0.0% 0.0%
  • 市值$350,102权重(上季→本季)0.0% 0.0%
  • 市值$320,197权重(上季→本季)0.0% 0.0%
本季清仓(1)

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

Danaher Corp(DHR)被 Compounder 追踪的 13 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $2.44B。仓位最大的是 Ravenel Boykin Curry,占其组合 5.4%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Pat Dorsey(占其组合 7.6%)Steven Romick(占其组合 1.3%)Daniel Loeb(占其组合 2.2%)

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 3 位新建 DHR 仓位,7 位加仓,1 位减仓,1 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 Danaher Corp(DHR)的这些人还共同重仓 →

看哪些股票相对价值带便宜。 浏览全部可估值股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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