Royalty Pharma Plc- Cl A
RPRX高于价值预期 · 苛刻3 位超级投资者持有。
SEC 10-K · 基本面
生意质量
截至 2025-12-31估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。
- 营收增速
- +5.1%
- 净利率
- 32.4%
- ROE
- 7.9%
- FCF 利润率
- —
估值 · 价值带
高于合理价值
零增长底
$16
中枢 IV
$9
乐观上沿
$16
Royalty Pharma Plc- Cl A(RPRX):保守价值带 $16 / 股(零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿),中枢约 $9。今日价格高于这条带(价格 $62 截至 2026-08-26)。
中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。
营收增 1%(历史增长与基本面上限的较小值,受护城河封顶) · 护城河 0 年 · 折现 14.6% · 零增长下行 $16
价格截至 2026-08-26 · yahoo · DGS10 4.6% @ 2026-08-25.
方法与数字
保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。
所有者盈利 DCF $7.95 – $9.97 · Greenwald 零增长 $16.45 · 零增长基准 $16.45 · 重置 $16.45
护城河 低于资产基础 · 终值占现值 27% · 所有者盈利收益率 2% 对 10Y 4.6%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)$6.59 – $11.30 / 股
Normalized NOPAT = average operating margin over the years shown × latest-year revenue × (1 − normalized tax); then + D&A − maintenance capex (write A). Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge applied: + cash − total debt.
年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 简化:Maintenance capex unavailable → degraded to the v1 simplification (maintenance capex = D&A, so the depreciation add-back nets to zero). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back).
Buffett owner-earnings value$8.37 – $9.66 / 股
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 13.0–15.0% band (9–11% base + 4.0pp leverage premium). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
年份:TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 简化:Maintenance capex or D&A unavailable → degraded to normalized net income (= average net income over the years shown). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% base band plus a 4.0pp leverage premium (cost of equity rises with leverage — MM Proposition II). Net debt is about 11.7 years of owner earnings, adding 4.0pp of cost-of-equity risk premium.
重置价值 = 有形净资产 $8.86B + 资本化研发 $296.06M(FY 2026, 2024, 2023, 2022) = $16.45 / 股. Reproduction value = tangible net assets (equity − goodwill − intangibles) + capitalized R&D (5y straight-line), ÷ diluted shares.
护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC,故不计入增长价值。
窗口 TTM 2026-06-30, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%–11% · 正常化税率 0% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.
基线 9%–11%,净债务约 11.7 年所有者盈利 → 加 4.0 个百分点风险溢价 → 实际 13.0%–15.0%。
所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 1% · OE FY TTM 2026-06-30, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 13.14%–16.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, each +4.00pp for leverage premium, as of 2026-08-25). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.
估值口径:截至 2026-06-30 的滚动十二个月(最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q)。
价格在赌什么
现价把公司未来几年的 owner-earnings 年增定在 高于 30.0%(已超出常规区间);公司过去营收年增 1.7%。
市场要它明显快过自己一贯的水平。
SEC 13F · 持有人
持有该证券的超级投资者
3 位持有 · 合计 $351.8M · 本季 +1 新建 / -0 清仓
- 市值$201.8M权重(上季→本季)6.5% → 6.7% ▲
- 市值$137.7M权重(上季→本季)8.7% → 8.8% ▲
- 市值$12.3M权重(上季→本季)新建 · 0.1%
SEC 13F · 说明
文字说明
文字说明
Royalty Pharma Plc- Cl A(RPRX)被 Compounder 追踪的 3 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $351.8M。仓位最大的是 Samantha McLemore,占其组合 6.7%。
按市值,其他主要持有人包括 Pat Dorsey(占其组合 8.8%) 和 Ray Dalio(占其组合 0.1%)。
最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 1 位新建 RPRX 仓位,1 位加仓,1 位减仓,0 位清仓。
以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。
SEC 13F · 共持信号
他们还共同持有
持有 Royalty Pharma Plc- Cl A(RPRX)的这些人还共同重仓 →
RPRX 现价不低于保守价值带。 看当前击球区股票
数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-08-14 提交
仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。
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