Chevron Corp
CVX高于价值14 位超级投资者持有。
SEC 10-K · 基本面
生意质量
截至 2025-12-31估值口径：截至 2026-03-31 的滚动十二个月（最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q）。
- 营收增速
- -4.6%
- 净利率
- 6.7%
- ROE
- 6.6%
- FCF 利润率
- 9.0%
估值 · 价值带
高于合理价值
零增长底
$91
中枢 IV
$31
乐观上沿
$91
Chevron Corp（CVX）：保守价值带 $91 / 股（零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿），中枢约 $31。今日价格高于这条带（价格 $197 截至 2026-07-31）。
中间是主读数；右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档，不是绝对上限。
- 最新盈利低于多年均值，价值带按更低的运行率计。
营收增 0%（历史下滑，封顶为零） · 护城河 0 年 · 折现 10.6% · 零增长下行 $91
价格截至 2026-07-31 · yahoo · DGS10 4.7% @ 2026-07-29.
方法与数字
Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.
保守内在价值带（零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF）加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。
所有者盈利 DCF $27.57 – $36.07 · Greenwald 零增长 $90.62 · 零增长基准 $90.62 · 重置 $90.62
护城河 低于资产基础 · 终值占现值 37% · 所有者盈利收益率 2% 对 10Y 4.7%.
Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)
Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.
Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).
年份：TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
Buffett owner-earnings value$30.07 – $36.76 / 股
Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).
年份：TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021
v1 简化：Net income is below its multi-year average (cyclical/declining): normalized owner earnings anchored to the latest year — no peak-earnings capitalization (audit #2). Owner earnings = net income + D&A − maintenance capex (ok); the working-capital change is excluded (maintenance ΔNWC ≈ 0; growth ΔNWC is carried in growth value, not double-counted). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied (net cash or debt within the no-charge range).
重置价值 = 有形净资产 $179.15B + 资本化研发 $820.40M（FY 2026, 2024, 2023, 2022） = $90.62 / 股. Reproduction value = tangible net assets (equity − goodwill − intangibles) + capitalized R&D (5y straight-line), ÷ diluted shares.
护城河读数：Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.
增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC，故不计入增长价值。
窗口 TTM 2026-03-31, FY 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%–11% · 正常化税率 21% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.
所有者盈利 DCF：增长 g₁ 0%（历史下滑 → 封顶为 0） · OE FY TTM 2026-03-31, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.17%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-07-29). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.
估值口径：截至 2026-03-31 的滚动十二个月（最新 10-K 叠加未审计 10-Q）。
价格在赌什么
现价把公司未来几年的 owner-earnings 年增定在 高于 30.0%（已超出常规区间）；公司过去营收年增 11.5%。
市场要它明显快过自己一贯的水平。
粗略地说，现价要它按历史营收增速再增长约 39 年，才刚好撑得起。
价值带信心不足时仍可对照：这里只说明市场在赌多快，不把它当成「确认便宜」。
SEC 13F · 持有人
持有该证券的超级投资者
14 位持有 · 合计 $17.73B · 本季 +3 新建 / -0 清仓
- 市值$17.46B权重（上季→本季）7.2% → 6.6% ▼
- 市值$181.3M权重（上季→本季）1.4% → 1.9% ▲
- 市值$42.4M权重（上季→本季）0.0% → 0.0% ▲
- 市值$32.5M权重（上季→本季）0.1% → 0.1% ▲
- 市值$8.6M权重（上季→本季）0.1% → 0.1% ▲
- 市值$2.0M权重（上季→本季）新建 · 0.1%
- 市值$1.3M权重（上季→本季）新建 · 0.0%
- 市值$1.3M权重（上季→本季）0.1% → 0.1% ▲
- 市值$1.1M权重（上季→本季）0.2% → 0.2% ▲
- 市值$584,906权重（上季→本季）新建 · 0.0%
展开全部 14 位持有人 ▸收起 ▾
- 市值$511,043权重（上季→本季）0.0% → 0.0% ▲
- 市值$404,075权重（上季→本季）0.1% → 0.1% ▲
- 市值$279,315权重（上季→本季）0.0% → 0.0% ▲
- 市值$279,315权重（上季→本季）0.0% → 0.0% ▲
SEC 13F · 说明
文字说明
文字说明
Chevron Corp（CVX）被 Compounder 追踪的 14 位超级投资者持有，合计申报市值 $17.73B。仓位最大的是 Warren Buffett，占其组合 6.6%。
按市值，其他主要持有人包括 Jim Cullen（占其组合 1.9%），Dodge & Cox（占其组合 0.0%） 和 Jeremy Grantham（占其组合 0.1%）。
最近一个季度，追踪范围内有 3 位新建 CVX 仓位，2 位加仓，6 位减仓，0 位清仓。
以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报，截至 2026-03-31 季度。来源：SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓，且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天，因此这是已披露的多头持有情况，并非完整全貌。
SEC 13F · 共持信号
他们还共同持有
持有 Chevron Corp（CVX）的这些人还共同重仓 →
看哪些股票相对价值带便宜。 浏览全部可估值股票
数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-03-31 · 2026-05-15 提交
仅供教育与信息参考，不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报，可能滞后最多 45 天。
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