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M & T Bank Corp

MTB高于价值

6 位超级投资者持有。

现价$250.73
持有人数6
合计市值$85.5M

SEC 10-K · 基本面

生意质量

截至 2025-12-31
营收增速
+7.5%
净利率
172.1%
ROE
9.8%
FCF 利润率
营收 $5.95B → $1.66B · 近 6 年
什么样的生意算优质

估值 · 价值带

高于合理价值

$199/ 股 · 含增长中枢内在价值
安全边际
合理价值
高于合理价值
$251
更便宜更贵

零增长底

$138

中枢 IV

$199

乐观上沿

$244

M & T Bank Corp(MTB):保守价值带 $138–$244 / 股(零增长底到增速封顶的乐观上沿),中枢约 $199。今日价格高于这条带(价格 $251 截至 2026-07-22)。

中间是主读数;右侧上沿是同一套保守假设下的乐观档,不是绝对上限。

营收增 3%(历史增长与基本面上限的较小值,受护城河封顶) · 护城河 0 年 · 折现 10.6% · 零增长下行 $138

价格截至 2026-07-22 · yahoo · DGS10 4.6% @ 2026-07-21.

方法与数字

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

保守内在价值带(零增长底到增速封顶的 DCF)加一道有形资产地板 — 非投资建议、非买卖信号、亦非目标价。

所有者盈利 DCF $137.16 – $244.45 · Greenwald 零增长 $168.36 · 零增长基准 $168.36 · 重置 $130.03

护城河 商品化 · 终值占现值 48% · 所有者盈利收益率 6% 对 10Y 4.6%.

Graham earnings-power value (normalized NOPAT)

Operating income is not reported separately (e.g. banks, insurers, and some diversified issuers), so earnings power is shown via the owner-earnings lens only; the unlevered NOPAT lens does not apply.

Normalized NOPAT from operating margin — not applicable when operating income is not reported separately. Unlevered (pre-interest, attributable to all capital). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a WACC proxy). Enterprise → equity bridge (+ cash − total debt) — not applied (lens not assessable).

年份:2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

Buffett owner-earnings value$137.75 – $168.36 / 股

Owner earnings = average net income + average D&A − maintenance capex (zero-growth floor; no ΔNWC). Levered (starts from net income, already after interest — an equity-holder stream). Capitalized at the 9–11% rate band (read as a cost-of-equity proxy). No enterprise→equity bridge: the capitalized result is already equity value (subtracting debt would double-count interest).

年份:2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021

v1 简化:Maintenance capex or D&A unavailable → degraded to normalized net income (= average net income over the years shown). One-time items are not separately normalized (multi-year averaging smooths them partially). Share-based compensation is left as a real expense (not added back); see the SBC/OE disclosure. Capitalized at the 9–11% band as a cost-of-equity proxy; no leverage premium applied. Financial issuer (bank/insurer): net debt / owner earnings does not describe a deposit-funded balance sheet, so no leverage premium is applied here; leverage is instead handled by the reliability gate.

重置价值 = 有形净资产 $20.65B = $130.03 / 股. Tangible net assets = shareholders' equity − goodwill − intangibles, ÷ diluted shares (no R&D history to capitalize).

护城河读数:Franchise test compares earnings power (EPV) against reproduction value on both AV_conservative (tangible + capitalized R&D) and AV_reproduction (conservative + acquired-reset proxy). Both must clear the franchise multiple for a moat signal; near it, a commodity; below it, value destruction. A directional reading, not a verdict.

增长价值被闸至零 — 无护城河或 ROIIC ≤ WACC,故不计入增长价值。

窗口 FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · 贴现带 9%11% · 正常化税率 21% (Average effective tax rate over 5 year(s), capped at the statutory 21%.) · 股数 diluted.

所有者盈利 DCF:增长 g₁ 3% · OE FY 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021 · Discount band: 9.13%–12.00% (DGS10 +4.5% to a 12% strict end, as of 2026-07-21). No enterprise→equity bridge: owner earnings already flow to shareholders (post-interest), so no net cash is added and no debt subtracted — matching the engine owner-earnings lamp.

内在价值怎么读

SEC 13F · 持有人

持有该证券的超级投资者

6 位持有 · 合计 $85.5M · 本季 +0 新建 / -0 清仓

本季动向2 家加仓3 家减仓
持有人 6 → 1 · 近 8 季
  • 市值$36.7M权重(上季→本季)0.4% 0.4%
  • 市值$18.8M权重(上季→本季)1.5% 1.5%
  • 市值$12.5M权重(上季→本季)0.1% 0.1%
  • 市值$8.5M权重(上季→本季)0.1% 0.0%
  • 市值$7.4M权重(上季→本季)0.0% 0.0%
  • 市值$1.6M权重(上季→本季)0.1% 0.1%

SEC 13F · 说明

文字说明

M & T Bank Corp(MTB)被 Compounder 追踪的 6 位超级投资者持有,合计申报市值 $85.5M。仓位最大的是 John Rogers,占其组合 0.4%。

按市值,其他主要持有人包括 David Katz(占其组合 1.5%)Christopher Davis(占其组合 0.1%)Ray Dalio(占其组合 0.0%)

最近一个季度,追踪范围内有 0 位新建 MTB 仓位,2 位加仓,3 位减仓,0 位清仓。

以上持有人数与市值来自最新的 SEC Form 13F 申报,截至 2026-06-30 季度。来源:SEC EDGAR。13F 仅涵盖美股多头持仓,且可能滞后实际组合最多 45 天,因此这是已披露的多头持有情况,并非完整全貌。

如何读懂 13F

SEC 13F · 共持信号

他们还共同持有

持有 M & T Bank Corp(MTB)的这些人还共同重仓 →

MTB 现价不低于保守价值带。 看当前击球区股票

也可在

数据来源· SEC EDGAR 13F 截至 2026-06-30 · 2026-07-15 提交

仅供教育与信息参考,不构成投资建议。13F 持仓为机构自行申报,可能滞后最多 45 天。

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